Иран

When the trading chief of the Middle East's largest oil company publicly names a specific month as a potential tipping point, that's not an analytical aside. It's a market signal: get ready. Philippe Khoury of ADNOC has warned that August could mark a sharp price spike if demand keeps rising and the supply crisis triggered by the war on Iran remains unresolved. Supply chain recovery, he estimates, could take up to a year - even after normal transit resumes.

What This Story Is Really About

American intelligence is no longer limited to gathering information and compiling dossiers. It is now attempting to replicate the very logic of political decision-making — from Vladimir Putin to Xi Jinping. The CIA has developed an AI tool that allows analysts to “interact” with virtual versions of foreign presidents and prime ministers in order to anticipate their likely responses in advance.

What Has Been Created

Tuesday, 8:00 PM Eastern Time. Trump posted it on Truth Social with a single exclamation mark – and the entire Middle East froze. Pakistan’s field marshal lies sleepless through the night. Iran’s foreign minister keeps his phone clutched in his hand. Washington finalises its bombing plans. Diplomacy on the edge of the abyss – live.

An Ultimatum with a Deadline Shift

While the world watches missile strikes and oil prices, another game is unfolding in the mountains of northwestern Iran. It is a quiet, invisible game—one potentially far more devastating than any aerial campaign.

What Is Known—and What Is Missing

On February 28, 2026, the "anti-Western bloc" was supposed to rally in defense of one of its own. Instead, there was only silence, backroom bargaining, and an Indian official speaking of tankers while Tehran buried its leader. Only Moscow called things by their name – and found itself in the minority.

The Night That Changed Everything

Explosions in Tehran. Reports of the death of Ayatollah Khamenei. Hundreds dead. Iran launches retaliatory strikes against Israel and American bases in the region. The world holds its breath.

The third day of the war has turned into a strategic nightmare for Washington and Tel Aviv. The assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, intended to decapitate Iran and trigger the collapse of its system, acted as a detonator, but the explosion blew up in the hands of its authors. Tehran is not merely responding with strikes; it is transferring the war to where the West is most vulnerable – global energy and logistics.

Sergey Lavrov recently called on Washington to "show common sense" and abandon its threats against Tehran. But behind this diplomatic courtesy lies a brutal reality: the US is ready to bomb Iran not because of its nuclear program or "human rights." The true reason lies in growth figures that are driving American strategists to despair. While Trump issues ultimatums, a process is unfolding in the East capable of burying dollar hegemony once and for all.

The Numbers That Terrify Washington

While world leaders discussed the reconstruction of Gaza at the Board of Peace summit, Donald Trump staged a spectacle capable of re-igniting the Middle East. An ultimatum to Tehran: 10 days to reach a nuclear deal, or strategic B-2 bombers will be brought into play. Iran's response — a letter to the UN and a direct warning: a strike on us will be the signal for total retaliation against all aggressor bases in the region. This is not rhetoric. This is a pre-war state, which the world watches with bated breath.